Arthur Hayes, that sly fox who cofounded BitMEX, swaggered into the crypto corral and hollered something that made heads spin faster than a windmill in a California dust storm: Bitcoin’s gonna bust past $200,000, and that old four-year dance we’ve all been watching like hawks? Well, it’s dead as a doornail.
For ages, Bitcoin’s price was tethered to these halving events, marching along a four-year parade of highs and heartaches. But Hayes, bless his contrarian soul, isn’t buying the ticket anymore. In a podcast somewhere folks were listening, he said the game’s changed – now it’s the global flood of cash and strange investor whims steering this ship, not some mining magic trick.
“Four-year cycle, huh? I don’t believe in that fairy tale,” he quipped, eyes twinkling like a desert mirage. The real horsepower behind Bitcoin’s climb, according to him, is the bigger beast: macroeconomics. Especially how Uncle Sam’s money men fiddle with interest rates. It’s less about when the miners get tired, more about how the Fed decides to toss chips on the table.
Bitcoin’s Long Road To $200,000-and No, It’s Not A Slowpoke
Hayes didn’t mince words: Bitcoin is just pacing itself in that $60,000 to $65,000 corral, catching its breath before sprinting toward the $200K finish line. And what makes Bitcoin the tough old bull in this rodeo? It’s the only money on the range that can weather government stick-wielders and economic dust storms alike, earning its stripes as “the one true decentralized money.”
Forget those halving graphs – Hayes says liquidity’s the new sheriff in town, calling the shots that’ll push Bitcoin into six figures, come hell or high water.
Altcoins: The Rattlesnakes in the Grass
Now, if you’re wondering about altcoins, buckle up – Hayes views them as fragile as a dried tumbleweed in a dry season. They might shoot up 50 to 100% on hype alone, but once liquidity dries up like an old creek bed, they plummet a gut-wrenching 70 to 80%. The whole market’s “running on narrative,” he says, which is just a fancy way of saying smoke and mirrors without the magic.
When the money faucet shuts, altcoins are the first to collapse like a house of cards in a prairie windstorm. Most won’t make it through the coming drought of uncertainty.
Why This Cycle’s Singing A Different Tune
Hayes points to bigger winds at work: stablecoins growing like stubborn weeds, central banks changing their tunes, and institutions piling into Bitcoin like it’s the last waterhole in the desert. All this means the old four-year rhythm is about as useful as sunscreen at a moonlit gathering.
The market’s new beat is all about waves of liquidity flooding in and out – unpredictable, messy, and downright wild. So take off your rose-colored glasses, friend, because Bitcoin’s gearing up for a breakout that’ll make your head spin. And as for those altcoins? Well, they’re probably just hitching a ride on the next dust devil, hoping it ends somewhere other than the canyon floor.
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2025-09-15 10:03