Key Takeaways
What does the drop in Bitcoin’s STH-NUPL signal say about recent market sentiment? 😬
It reflects growing distress among short-term holders and a potential reset of speculative positions. Or, as we like to call it, the “oh no, my pizza money is gone” moment.
How are long-term holders responding to the current market conditions? 🤑
They’re still selling at a profit, showing confidence and increasing their long exposure. Basically, they’re sipping margaritas while the rest of us are Googling “how to eat instant noodles for a month.”
Bitcoin’s [BTC] Short-Term Holder Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (STH-NUPL) has once again turned negative, signaling rising stress among recent buyers. This shift suggests that the speculative over-leverage seen in recent weeks is beginning to unwind. Think of it as a hangover after a wild crypto party-painful but necessary.
Historically, similar levels of short-term holder distress have often preceded stronger, more sustainable rallies. 🚀
In fact, the last time STH-NUPL reached this zone was in April of last year, just before Bitcoin kicked off a major bullish trend. So, if history repeats itself, strap in-because the ride is about to get interesting.

Short-term pain, long-term opportunity 💼
Usually, when short-term holders face mounting losses, markets often enter a reset phase where weaker positions are flushed out. For BTC, the short-term holders’ exits could be setting the stage for long-term participants to regain control. It’s like the crypto gods saying, “Hey, rookies, step aside-it’s time for the pros to play.”
According to CryptoQuant, Bitcoin’s long-term Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) remains above 1. In fact, the ratio was 2.3 at the time of writing, suggesting that long-term holders are still selling at a profit. 🏆
These developments signal increased market confidence among the long-term holders as they add more long positions in the market. They’re basically the Gandalfs of Bitcoin-calmly saying, “You shall pass” to all the market chaos.

What’s next for Bitcoin? 🔮
On the weekly charts, BTC prices were building momentum from the current demand zone at $108K. If the bulls accumulate enough buying pressure, the resistance level at $128K could be the next target. Or, as we like to put it, “Moon or bust!”
The Stochastic RSI is also bouncing off an oversold zone. Think of it as Bitcoin waking up from a nap and stretching its legs-almost ready to sprint.

If history is any guide, the recent pullback could be laying the groundwork for renewed bullish momentum in BTC. 🌕
As speculative positions fade and long-term holder sentiment strengthens, Bitcoin’s market structure may be shifting from short-term fear toward a longer-term recovery. So, grab your popcorn (or your crypto wallet) and enjoy the show!
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2025-10-24 11:08