Bitcoin (BTC) retail investors are setting new records, but not in the way you’d hope. A âstructural declineâ has emerged, and itâs making waves in the middle of a so-called bull market.
Key Points:
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Bitcoin entities holding up to 1 BTC are sending less per day to Binance than ever before. Oops!
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The tale of the âstructural declineâ begins in the era of spot Bitcoin ETFs. What a time to be alive… or not.
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Whale positioning hints at a new BTC price bottom. Whale talk… but are they talking to us?
âShrimpâ Binance BTC Inflows Set All-Time Lows
Data from onchain analytics platform CryptoQuant shows that BTC inflows to Binance, the largest crypto exchange, have collapsed. Yep, you heard that right. Itâs 2025, and Bitcoin retail investors – entities holding up to 1 BTC ($90,000) – have almost entirely ghosted the trading scene.
According to CryptoQuant, even when compared to the chaos of the 2022 bear market, the activity of these so-called âshrimpâ investors is barely a blip on the radar. In fact, theyâre barely making a ripple.
âThe activity of shrimps (small Bitcoin holders <1 BTC) has dropped to one of the lowest levels ever recorded,â said Darkfost, the resident expert, in a QuickTake blog post.
Back in December 2022, daily inflows from shrimps to Binance alone were about 2,675 BTC ($242 million) per day, as measured using a 30-day simple moving average (SMA). Fast forward to now: those inflows have collapsed to just 411 BTC. Thatâs like a small wave in an ocean thatâs barely rippling.
âItâs not just a pullback; itâs a structural decline,â Darkfost concluded. And weâre just here, sipping our coffee, watching the fallout.
Despite prices reaching unprecedented new heights, retail interest in Bitcoin seems… well, absent. Maybe they’re too busy binge-watching something or just completely lost faith in the whole thing. Itâs a mystery.
Meanwhile, even as Bitcoin prices took a dip over the past two months, thereâs a curious indicator comparing retail investors to whales thatâs still flashing a bullish signal. Will we ever know what it really means? Stay tuned.
The âWhale vs. Retail Delta,â which compares long positioning across both groups, is teasing a BTC price bottom. Apparently, whales are positioning themselves more heavily in long positions compared to retail traders. Joao Wedson, founder of crypto analytics platform Alphractal, observed:
âWhenever these levels got this high in the past, we saw local bottoms forming. But, also, large positions getting liquidated… Get ready for the ride!â
Bitcoin ETFs âClearly Contributeâ to Retail Shifts
CryptoQuant points to the rise of Bitcoin ETFs, particularly the US spot Bitcoin ETFs, as a key factor behind the retail downtrend. The world of Bitcoin investments is changing rapidly, and retail investors are increasingly opting for frictionless exposure via ETFs rather than dealing with the headache of private keys, wallet security, and all that other annoying stuff.
âETFs have provided a frictionless way to gain exposure to Bitcoin without the hassle of managing your own private keys or risking a mismanaged custody,â Darkfost wrote. But, of course, he cautions, âETFs are not the only reason, but they certainly contribute to the profound change in how retail participates in the market.â
As CryptoMoon reported, November was a bit of a rough patch for the ETFs, with the largest, BlackRockâs iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), seeing net outflows of $2.3 billion. Guess itâs not all sunshine and rainbows in the ETF world.
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2025-12-09 11:21