HBAR’s 6-Month Liquidations Nightmare: Is the Worst Yet to Come?

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6 Months of <a href="https://jpykr.com/hbar-usd/">HBAR</a> Long Liquidations — The Worst May Not Be Over

Hedera (HBAR) is currently trading at $0.0951 and is having trouble staying above its support level of $0.0930. The price has been trending downwards, and investors are continuing to sell, which is preventing any significant or lasting price increases.

After reviewing six months of market data and observing two negative indicators, the price of HBAR is likely to continue falling. Unless buyers can drive the price above $0.1031, it’s expected to move lower.

Bearish Control Persists Over HBAR

From September 2025 to March 25, 2026, HBAR futures traders who were forced to close their positions (liquidations) were consistently high. Throughout this period, the 7-day average of these liquidations stayed above 50% on nearly every trading day.

When long liquidations (forced selling of long positions) consistently exceed short liquidations by a significant margin – over 50% – it indicates a persistent pattern. This isn’t a random occurrence; instead, every time the price temporarily increases, this imbalance gets worse. We’ve seen this happen repeatedly, with the percentage of long liquidations reaching as high as 90% in late September, December, and January.

These price increases happened at the same time as price decreases, proving that traders who had borrowed heavily to buy were consistently losing money and being forced to sell.

As of March 25th, Hedera (HBAR) was trading around $0.09, with approximately 80% of its supply held by long-term holders. This pattern has remained consistent for the past six months, suggesting no major shifts are expected.

HBAR’s Capital Is Only Leaving

Looking at the daily chart, the Chaikin Money Flow is confirming what I’m seeing – a clear trend of selling pressure. It peaked around 0.13 in late February, and since then, it’s been steadily falling. As of March 25th, it’s now at -0.11, which really underscores the current liquidation we’re observing.

A negative CMF value indicates that more HBAR is being sold than bought. The current reading of -0.11 isn’t a small dip; it suggests a clear downward trend. The price chart confirms this, showing a consistent decline with no signs of stabilizing. Overall, money is consistently flowing out of HBAR, and this outflow is happening at an increasing rate.

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Recently, the price hasn’t really moved, and has even dipped a bit. Combined with a declining Chaikin Money Flow (CMF), this suggests that whenever buyers try to step in, sellers quickly counteract them, preventing any significant price increase.

CMF would need to cross back above zero and hold there before the demand picture changes.

How Do HBAR Holders Feel?

Santiment’s analysis of HBAR shows that online discussion around the cryptocurrency has been largely negative since February 20th. The weighted sentiment score, which measures the overall positivity or negativity of these discussions, remained mostly below zero, ending March 25th at -0.574.

When our sentiment analysis shows a score below zero, it indicates that there’s more negative discussion happening online and in the media compared to what’s typical. This negative trend hasn’t lasted for more than a couple of days at a time before dropping back down.

Even when the price temporarily rose above $0.10 in mid-March, the overall feeling wasn’t positive, indicating that buyers weren’t strongly committed to the increase.

The lack of a compelling story is significant. Altcoins usually need positive buzz to keep prices rising, and right now, with sentiment so negative at -0.574, that kind of boost isn’t happening.

HBAR Price May See a Decline

Looking at the daily chart, HBAR’s price is currently falling under a declining resistance level. The 20-day and 50-day moving averages are at $0.0982 and $0.1322 respectively, and both are trending downwards. Since these averages are well above the current price, it suggests a continuing downward trend for HBAR.

HBAR is currently testing the $0.0930 support level. If the price falls below $0.0930, it could drop further to $0.0886. The $0.0886 level represents the next significant support area.

If the price falls below $0.0886, it’s likely to find support around $0.0830, and potentially as low as $0.0780. Because many traders have recently been closing long positions, a significant drop in price could happen quickly, as those holding positions near the current level are forced to sell.

As a researcher following HBAR, I’m watching closely for a break above $0.1031. If the price closes above this key resistance level, it would likely signal a reversal of the current trend, with a potential target of $0.1166. I’d be even more confident in a reversal if we see the Chaikin Money Flow indicator turn positive alongside that price movement – that would suggest the six-month downtrend is finally breaking down. Until we see those signals, I’m expecting the existing bearish pattern, which has been in place since September 2025, to continue.

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2026-03-25 19:42