There comes a time in every countryâs life-a time shrouded in clouds, thick and heavy, like thousand-pound ledgers closing in the bank vaults of Manhattan-when an ominous whisper escapes the lips of those who rule the markets. Enter JPMorgan Chase: financial colossus, harbinger of economic doom, and, apparently, a gatherer of job market omens.
As tremblings set into the hands of analysts (those tireless monks of Wall Street, forever calculating salvation in spreadsheets), Fortune delivers their latest gospel. The jobs report, much awaited, arrived like an aging czar-tardy and disappointing. Seventy-three thousand jobs, they say! Not even a hundred thousand-oh, how the mighty have fallen. May and July, our former heroes, have been demoted too: their numbers revised downward, puncturing the brave faces of forecasts past. Who revised them? Is it an act of accounting, or a Dostoevskian confession?
JPMorganâs note landed with all the subtlety of an axe murderer outside your Petersburg apartment. âLabor demand has cooled,â the analysts declared-yes, cooled, as if Americaâs hustling masses are now forever destined to huddle for warmth by the dying embers of the American Dream. đŹ
âWe have consistently emphasized that a slide in labor demand of this magnitude is a recession warning signal,â they intoned, with the gravity of a priest pronouncing last rites. âFirms,â the note continued, ânormally maintain hiring through the little storms, the âgrowth downshiftsâ-ah, such optimism! But when labor demand slides, like Svidrigailov into the abyss, beware, for retrenchment is nigh.â
Layer atop this bleak job market the tariffs of President Trump, and the sum is clear: the Federal Reserve stands poised in their temple, considering whether to ease monetary policy. Thus speaks JPMorgan, probably over their third glass of expensive wine:
âWe think job creation is no longer appropriately described as solid. The trade war brews like Raskolnikovâs fever dreams, and the Fedâs hand trembles near the printing press.â
But wait-there are more prophets in the wilderness. Goldman Sachs, grand devourer of dreams, offers its own somber verses. Jan Hatzius, chief economist and part-time soothsayer, offered this from his gloomy garret:
âWeeks ago, we wrote a report: âStall Speed.â GDP growing at barely above 1%-like a Dostoevskian protagonist unable to leave his bed. With this jobs report, behold: the picture is clear. Stall speed, indeed. The economy limps onward-a wounded hero in a long Russian winter. Unemployment is drifting, meandering, ever so gently higher. The risks? Oh, dear reader, the risks are not simply there-they dance a macabre waltz in the dim candlelight.â đŻïž
And so, we watch, cup of bitter tea in hand, as the fate of the market broods over us like a Dostoevskian dilemma-are we ruined, or simply waiting for a little more disappointment to tip us over the edge?
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2025-08-05 16:20