Well, well, well, if it isn’t the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, kicking off on Tuesday. But don’t you worry, folks-investors have been planning their next big move long before that. In fact, they’ve been scheming for over a week like they’re preparing for a heist.
According to the ever-watchful CryptoQuant, Bitcoin investors have been doing the digital equivalent of packing up their valuables and hiding them under the mattress. Yep, they’ve been moving their Bitcoin away from exchanges in anticipation of what might come after the FOMC meeting. No one likes surprises, right?
Binance Takes a Bitcoin Bath
And then there’s Binance, the king of all crypto exchanges, which has been losing Bitcoin like a sinking ship. Normally, when coins leave exchanges, it means buyers are getting ready to make a move-probably like a kid sneaking cookies before dinner. But when coins come flooding in, that’s when you know sellers are having a field day.
Now, hold onto your hats-Bitcoin, after taking a dive down to a measly $107,500 two weeks ago, managed to bounce back and hit the $117,000 mark. CryptoQuant’s crystal ball says the comings and goings of Bitcoin on exchanges have had a hand in this dramatic price rollercoaster. Who knew those little coin transfers could have such power?
Binance itself has had a steady stream of outflows for a solid nine days straight, from September 6 to 14. To add more salt to the wound, Bitcoin inflows to all exchanges hit a one-year low of just 25,000-half of what we saw in July. Analysts are starting to think this outflow trend might just be the secret sauce behind Bitcoin’s recovery from the depths of $108,000. Oh, the drama!
Will The Fed Play Nice and Cut Rates?
As the FOMC meeting rolls on, the big question on everyone’s mind is whether the Federal Reserve is going to cut those pesky interest rates. According to Polymarket (sounds fancy, huh?), there’s a 91% chance the Fed will drop rates by 25 basis points, and an 8% chance they’ll go all-in with a 50-point cut.
If the Fed does pull the trigger, it’s a win for the liquidity lovers. Borrowing becomes cheaper, and American consumers-who’ve been sitting on the sidelines like the world’s most patient poker players-get access to more cash. Naturally, this cash is likely to flow into riskier assets, like Bitcoin, stocks, and shiny metals like gold and silver.
Even though September’s track record for BTC has been a bit of a downer, this FOMC meeting might just throw a wrench into the works. If we don’t see fireworks in September, don’t despair-October might just give us the BTC rally we’ve been waiting for. Historically, Q4 is a good season for Bitcoin, and analysts are cautiously optimistic that the bull run could stretch out over the next few months.
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2025-09-17 17:50