Bitcoin’s Cycle: It’s Officially…Different 😳

by

So, it has come to pass. Bitcoin, that digital phantom dreamt up by cypherpunks and chased by speculators – has dared to…deviate. A red candle, they say, after the halving year. A red candle! As if defying the natural order. One almost expects a decree from on high, a commission to investigate this affront to historical precedent. 🏛️

BREAKING: #BITCOIN JUST RECORDED ITS 1st RED CANDLE AFTER A HALVING IN HISTORY

4-YEAR CYCLE BROKEN. BUCKLE UP 🚀

– The Bitcoin Historian (@pete_rizzo_) January 1, 2026

They speak of a “cycle” – these devotees of pattern and prediction. A neat, four-year rhythm ordained by the sacred halving. Nonsense, I say! As if the whims of the market, the currents of greed and fear, can be contained within such tidy compartments. It seems the post-halving “supply shock” has…failed to shock. A most peculiar outcome. Perhaps the market, in its infinite wisdom, simply grew weary of being predictable.

This ‘four-year cycle,’ you understand, relied upon a period of explosive growth following the halving. Enormous rallies, they boasted, like clockwork in 2013, 2017, 2021. The halving forcing price appreciation. How quaint. It appears the forces at play are now…more nuanced. Or, dare I say, more institutional.

Diminishing Returns (or, the Inevitable Dampening of Zeal)

Observe the charts. Each successive “green candle,” they claim, is…smaller. A downward slope, a subtle erosion of exuberance. Like a revolutionary spirit, slowly watered down by committees. 📉 The introduction of these “ETFs” and “institutional capital” – these respectable, gray suits – has, predictably, transformed Bitcoin into a “macro asset.” Where is the poetry in that? The rebellion? The glorious, untamed speculation?

They say this broken cycle was “foretold” in 2024. Foretold! As if prophecy is anything more than a retrospective justification for being on the right side of history. Before even the halving, the price reached its “all-time high.” Before. A flagrant disregard for tradition. A defiance of the established order!

In cycles past, these “ATHs,” as they call them, arrived a year and a half after the halving. Now? Now, it’s all accelerated, diluted, prematurely satisfied. These ETFs, you see, have sucked the liquidity from the future, leaving only…emptiness. It seems the “institutional wall of money” arrived not as a flood, but as a polite drip – and, crucially, it arrived early. 😒

Further Fractures in the Narrative

A “1 bear year, 3 bull years” cadence, they also proclaimed. A charming regularity. Now, shattered. 2025 has dared to upset the balance. The first time since 2014 that Bitcoin failed to complete its “trilogy of green candles.” A tragic loss for those who find comfort in symmetrical patterns.

And, as if to add insult to injury, a price change of less than 10% for the year. Less than 10%! What is this, a savings account? Where is the volatility, the drama, the opportunity for fortunes to be made and lost in a single, reckless night? Bitcoin, it would seem, is…maturing. A rather depressing thought, wouldn’t you agree? 😂

Read More

2026-01-01 11:32