Ah, the latest macro signals—those delightful little tidbits that whimper their way into our financial consciousness each August—now indicate that liquidity, that ever-fickle beast of global M2, has just done a spectacular backflip after reaching its all-time, jaw-droppingly colossal high. Who knew that a few trillions would cause such a fuss? 💸🤡
So, what does this new M2 signal portend? Let’s indulge in some expert musings, shall we?
Could the Crypto Bull Run Be Napping Before the Fall? 🐂💤
Data from the mystical realm of Bgeometrics reveals that global M2 peaked at an eye-watering $114.8 trillion at the end of June. Fast forward to early August, and it’s shrunk down to a modest $112.7 trillion—roughly a 1.8% taper, hardly a catastrophe but enough to make investors clutch their pearls.
Now, Brett, our oracle of all things crypto and psychic, notes that M2 has formed a “lower high” and a “lower low”—which, in the entertaining language of technical analysis, might mean we’re heading south. A downtrend, perhaps? Cheers to the art of reading tea leaves with dollar signs! ☕💰
This chart, courtesy of ₿rett’s keen eye, shows a lovely dance between Bitcoin prices and global M2, with a charming lag of 84 days. Based on this, our friend ₿rett predicts that Bitcoin’s climactic peak might just arrive in late September. Or, as he puts it, “coincidence?”
“Global M2 has formed a lower high and lower low. Using the 84-day offset, the current peak is expected by late September. As noted in my December post below, the past three Bitcoin peaks occurred 525–532 days post-halving. Global M2’s current peak is 518 days after the halving. Coincidence?” ₿rett said.
Meanwhile, Master Kenobi—yes, that Master Kenobi—agrees with a nearby prediction, comparing Bitcoin’s whims to global M2, with a 90-day hindsight. His crystal ball suggests we might see a dramatic correction by October 2025. Or perhaps earlier—after all, fortunes are notoriously unreliable. 🚀🔮
“The Money Supply appears to have reached its local peak 31 days ago and has entered a period of decline…Based on M2 and current data, the pump signaling the cycle’s end should occur between late September and early October.” – Master Kenobi predicted, probably while sipping some blue milk.
The recent dip in M2 has got analysts whispering cautiously—perhaps they’ve watched one too many episodes of “Crypto Drama Theatre.”
Yet, not everyone is rushing to bury the Bitcoin bag just yet. Colin Talks Crypto, peerless in his wisdom, admits that the sharpest M2 pullback in seven months is worth noting but also warns that current data might be as reliable as a weather forecast in April.
Global M2 Money Supply vs BTC
The biggest drop in global M2 (see that saucy top-right corner) has just happened within the past 7 months. Since we’ve pushed this line forward by 90 days, we might see the ripple effect in BTC come late… or perhaps just in our nightmares. 😅
— Colin Talks Crypto (@ColinTCrypto) July 30, 2025
He is, of course, cautiously optimistic, hinting September and October might be the ‘danger zone’—or, more accurately, the ‘watch-and-wait zone’. But hey, maybe it’s just a fleeting peak, a mirage in the desert of crypto promises.
“Rather than jumping to conclusions with the current sketchy data, I suggest we keep our eyes peeled on that M2 line over the next few weeks. It’s like watching paint dry—only more thrilling if you’re a crypto nerd.” – Colin Talks Crypto
In the grand scheme of things, forecasts based on those mysterious offsets and halving cycles are charming, but the real magic—or chaos—lies in geopolitics, Fed rate cuts, and global sentiment. In other words, buckle up and prepare for surprises—because crypto’s an unpredictable diva, darling. 🚀🔥
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2025-08-01 12:37