Shocking Cryptocurrency Secret: Could Bitcoin’s Next Bull Run Be Minutes Away?

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Young Mr. Bitcoin, whose price has recently plummeted to depths unseen since the last great depression of gold, is leaving the market in a state of disorder more fitting for a tavern than for the reading room. Yet, amidst the gloom, comes forth a curious indicator that has already bought a reputation for being the most trusted barometer of a forthcoming rise.

History Recalls: Bitcoin Bounces When the Metric Turns Red

Following the market’s abrupt retreat, the most discerning investors are now watching the tables very closely for the next grand rally that may shepherd Bitcoin back into the realm of the prosperous. The on‑chain contrivances have long been celebrated as a reliable source of insight; and Mr. Joao Wedson, a man of unsurpassed veracity, has lately drawn attention to a metric that has outshone all others in this regard.

Specifically, the chronicler and founder of Alphractal has most recently given us remarks which employ the Bitcoin Net Unrealised Profit/Loss (NUPL) for Long‑Term Holders. This figure, dear reader, measures the average unrealised gain-or the frequent loss-that the most steadfast investors enjoy.

Mr. Wedson opines that a bull cycle usually ignites whenever this metric flips to the colour of despair. Though it may sound fanciful, previous cycles proved that the shift to red parallels the moment of most unbridled pessimism, when buyers press forward in a dizzying surge of suspicion, and the careful long‑term accretors see their coins fall into already established hands.

Recent data, as shown here, indicates that the metric sits at 0.36-a point which implies that those steadfast holders are, on average, still standing profitably. Yet Wedson cautions that the most revealing signal arrives once the metric inverts into the negative realm.

It must be remembered that when the NUPL falls into negative territory, losses even amongst the most earnestly belief investors compound. In days of yore, this pattern marked the zenith of market gloom. Mr. Wedson, in his perspicacity, interprets it as signs of seller fatigue, the transfer of coins to sturdier hands, and the dawn of a new market cycle. He betters this as “Opportunities are not built at the top, they are built in depression.”

BTC Accumulator Addresses Grow Greedy

Ms. Darkfost, a scholar at CryptoQuant, has been forthcoming with a full account of Bitcoin accumulator addresses, which, to our delight, are climbing. These addresses, representing a class of devoted long‑term holders, seem, by their very behaviour, to suggest that supply is being covertly absorbed. The amount on the open market, it appears, is being curtailed.

Current data indicates that the average monthly accumulation stands at a staggering 372,000 BTC-an increase from a mere 10,000 BTC recorded in September last year. Thus, our higher‑echelons of investors or their corporate proxies are seizing the sinuous dip with a zeal that would make Mrs. Bennet blush.

Whence the market structure indicates that certain investors respond with the passion of a quicksilver writer to fleeting price movements, others plan with patience for the long term-an approach most prudent, as history teaches us.

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2026-02-18 04:11