Out there in the digital wild west, folks are placing their bets like it’s Vegas on a Thursday night. The odds now suggest a 12% chance that old Sam Bankman-Fried might get a free pass from the pardoning machine, all after Binance’s boss, Changpeng “CZ” Zhao-who just got a slap on the wrist for his own little money laundering dance-is lurking around like the sheriff with a grin.
Polymarket’s gamblers, those brave souls with a penchant for gambling on the future’s chaos, saw the chance of “Who will Trump pardon in 2025” shoot up from a measly 5.6% to a decent 12%. More than $6.5 million changed hands, with a cool $302,090 betting on SBF-because nothing says confidence like betting on a guy with a prison sentence longer than some TV series.
Meanwhile, another market-because why not have two?-on whether SBF will escape custody in 2025 shot up from 4.3% to 19.1% before easing back down to 15.5%. It’s like watching a rollercoaster that’s had too much caffeine. 🎢
Of course, SBF’s already waving his legal flag, filing an appeal to cut his 25-year sentence. But with no fireworks expected before the New Year, his shot at early freedom hinges almost entirely on a pardon from the man himself-Trump, who’s been known to toss these things around like candy on Halloween.
Now, CZ’s pardon has stirred the pot-should SBF get the same sweet deal? The industry’s divided-the skeptics say, “No way, Jose!” while others quietly sip their Bitcoin cocktails and wonder if the universe has a sense of humor.
Four months versus 25 years? Only in crypto-land could that be a debate
Folks are crunching numbers and pointing fingers-CZ, guilty of passing illicit funds through Binance, got tossed a four-month slap on the wrist. SBF, on the other hand, was handed a prison sentence longer than some careers, all for allegedly stealing billions from his own customers. Proper villainy, the kind that makes lawyers smile.
Crypto lawyer Jake Chervinsky, always the college professor of courtroom dramas, says he’d be “truly shocked” if Trump gives SBF a get-out-of-jail-free card. Turns out, SBF’s a Democrat mega-donor-a real crowd favorite for the political circus-and not exactly a hero in court circles.
“His name is half punch line, half curse word in D.C.,” Chervinsky adds with a smirk. It’s about as popular as a rat in a lemonade stand.
Sasha Hodder from Hodder Law throws in her two cents, saying CZ’s crime isn’t even in the same league as SBF’s grand heist or Do Kwon’s disappearing act. “CZ wasn’t accused of stealing user funds or conning his customers. Binance operated like a proper exchange-withdrawals were smooth, like butter. His crime? Compliance, not criminal mischief,” she explains with a shrug that screams, “Really, it’s just business.”
And Trump? Well, he’s out there telling everyone CZ’s “not even a crime” and that he’s been “persecuted by the Biden administration”-picture that with a big wink and a smirk.
CZ is also throwing support behind Trump’s crypto ventures-because, why not? When the world is upside down, you might as well keep your friends close, and your crypto benefactors closer.
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2025-10-24 07:11