The unexpected price decline of Stellar (XLM) in October boosted demand, even though the token has not yet recovered its previous losses. On-chain data and the projectâs latest updates reflect confidence among certain investors, while overall market sentiment remains pessimistic.
Investor accumulation of XLM throughout October indicates long-term conviction rather than short-term price chasing. The following factors provide a clearer explanation. Or maybe not? Who needs logic when you can just hope for a miracle? đ
Exchange Reserves Plunge While TVL Hits Record High
According to DeFiLlama, the total value locked (TVL) on the Stellar chain, measured in XLM, has surged to an all-time high of over 456 million XLM locked across various DeFi protocols. Because nothing says “confidence” like stuffing money into a protocol that might collapse next week. đŠâš
Comparing XLMâs price performance with its TVL since last December highlights investorsâ faith in the networkâs ecosystem. Faith? More like desperation. đ
Specifically, since December, XLMâs price has dropped by 50%, but the amount of XLM locked in DeFi protocols has increased more than fourfold. Classic! Buy the dip, sell the high, but mostly panic. đđž
Another positive sign comes from Binance wallet data. The exchangeâs official XLM address (GBAâŠGPA) recorded over 240 million XLM withdrawn from the exchange over the past two months, the largest outflow since 2024. Binanceâs XLM address is basically a ghost town now. Who knew? đ»
Combining these two data points suggests that many XLM investors were heavily accumulating during October. They may have moved tokens off exchanges for long-term storage or to deploy them in DeFi. Or maybe they just lost the keys. Again. đ
However, the overall picture is not entirely optimistic. Data from CoinGlass shows that the funding rate for XLM futures contracts has remained negative for the past two weeks, reflecting ongoing bearish sentiment among traders. Because who isnât bearish when youâre down 50%? đ»đ»ââïž
The OI-weighted funding rate has fluctuated below zero since October 11, indicating that traders are paying to maintain short positions. The drop below $0.20 has made market sentiment even more pessimistic. Welcome to the party, everyoneâs already drunk on despair. đž
While the TVL and exchange reserve data suggest long-term optimism, the negative funding rate reveals short-term selling pressure on exchanges. As a result, XLMâs price could continue to fall. Yet, for some investors, that weakness presents an opportunity. Like buying a house during a flood. đ đ
Several investors believe that XLM below $0.20 represents an attractive entry point before a potential bull run similar to 2017. If by “bull run” they mean “a brief moment of hope before the next crash,” then yes, letâs do this. đ
âWhatâs coming next? The mass adoption rally – itâs written all over this chart. Two clean accumulation phases. Buy zone holding. The breakout wonât warn you,â investor X Finance Bull predicted. Because who needs data when you can just wave your hands and say “breakout”? đ€
Finally, Stellarâs vitality stems from its core upgrades and real-world use cases. Validators on the Stellar network recently voted to upgrade the Stellar Mainnet to Protocol 24, fixing a bug in the state storage feature. At the same time, the value of real-world assets (RWA) on Stellar rose by 26.3% over the past month, reaching $638 million. Wow, they fixed a bug that was so critical, it probably affected the moon landing. đ
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2025-10-24 13:35