Over the last thirty days, more than three hundred thousand Bitcoin have quietly slipped into the long-term wallets of the patient few-those who pretend to be serious investors while the rest of the market shivers in a wind from the czar’s balcony, fragile as a teacup.
Sentiment Index Climbs To Highest Point Since January
That accumulation happens against a backdrop of improving, though still cautious, market sentiment. The Alternative.me Crypto Fear & Greed Index leaped fourteen points in a single day to a score of 46 out of 100-the highest reading since January 18 and the greatest one-day leap in more than three months.
Bitcoin supply is moving into stronger hands.
Over the last 30 days:
• Long Term Holder Supply: +303K BTC
• ETF Netflows: +16.8K BTC
• Strategy: +53.0K BTCAnd meanwhile:
• Short Term Holder Supply: -290K BTC– CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) April 22, 2026
The score remains in the “Fear” zone, where it has lingered since mid-January, but the speed of the ascent has drawn the gossip of traders like moths to a lamp. Bitcoin itself hovered near $78k after a flirtation with $79,500-a roughly 5% gain in twenty hours.

The index score of 46 sits just shy of the neutral threshold of 50. Reaching it matters, but alas, the market still has miles to go before the road becomes a polite avenue.
Futures Market Leads The Push
Not all the momentum behind Bitcoin’s ascent sprang from the same spring. CryptoQuant’s analysis shows the rally was driven entirely by demand in the perpetual futures market.
Spot demand-the buying done on actual exchanges rather than via derivatives-has been contracting, albeit slowly. CryptoQuant warned that a price correction could follow if traders start taking profits while spot interest remains weak.
Speculative rally: The recent Bitcoin price increase is completely driven by demand in the perpetual futures market. Meanwhile, spot demand is still contracting (although at a slower pace).
The same happened in January, when Bitcoin peaked at $98K.
There are risks of a…
– Julio Moreno (@jjcmoreno) April 22, 2026
Perp-driven moves without matching spot activity have historically been short-lived, and that pattern is worth watching here.
Strategy, the company formerly known as MicroStrategy, has been among the most aggressive buyers, snapping up 53,000 Bitcoin over the past month alone.
Reports from CryptoQuant indicate the broader supply shift points to coins moving from short-term to long-term holders-a sign, analysts say, that the asset is finding a more stable base of ownership.

Retail Traders Yet To Return In Force
One notable gap in the recovery is retail participation. Bitwise chief investment officer Matt Hougan has publicly stated that everyday traders have not returned to the market in the same volumes seen in previous cycles.
That matters because the Fear & Greed Index draws heavily from retail-driven data points-Google search volume and social media activity related to crypto. Without a pickup in those signals, the index risks stalling at a cheerful, yet distant, ceiling.
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2026-04-24 05:59